Riley,
Thanks so much for this. I finally wrapped up a job and have time to sit down with this again.
I followed your instructions and got this output:
user@user-ThinkPad-T60:~$ sudo avrdude -c avrispmkII -P usb -p x192a3 -U flash:w:tinyg.hex
avrdude: stk500v2_command(): error in CMD_XPROG_SETMODE: Unknown
avrdude: stk600_xprog_program_enable(): CMD_XPROG_SETMODE(XPRG_MODE_PDI) failed
avrdude: initialization failed, rc=-1
Double check connections and try again, or use -F to override
this check.
avrdude: stk500v2_command(): error in CMD_XPROG: Unknown
avrdude: stk600_xprog_program_disable(): XPRG_CMD_LEAVE_PROGMODE failed
avrdude done. Thank you.